Music · resolved market
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc512e0c0fa2d19ad6fe8bd885b3089a80fa2bf8382c104321c7359e7014cf567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $872,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $916,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,037 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 74c | 75,046$55,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,444.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…8cd8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 80c | 42,549$33,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,846.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 1c | 26,111$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 17,928$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,071.14 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 19c | 15,585$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,615.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 15,542$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,785.62 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 23c | 12,429$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,523.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 27c | 10,387$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.78 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…6c15backed Yes | 79c | 8,400$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d15dbacked No | 31c | 7,941$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 8c | 7,896$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…6d68backed Yes | 69c | 7,894$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 31c | 7,880$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed No | 21c | 7,690$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed No | 31c | 7,067$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.29 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…3af6backed Yes | 75c | 6,585$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 24c | 6,413$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 71c | 6,219$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 74c | 6,010$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 72c | 5,940$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…d88cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,914$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 20c | 5,063$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 4,825$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.53 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 18c | 4,824$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 67c | 4,774$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 25c | 4,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 4,286$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.76 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 20c | 4,176$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 29c | 4,160$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Yes | 66c | 4,098$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Yes | 77c | 4,063$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…4ee9backed No | 19c | 4,000$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +429.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…3682backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…2f71backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…140ebacked No | 24c | 4,000$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 4c | 3,658$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 68c | 3,478$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 27c | 3,346$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 25c | 3,238$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 40c | 3,009$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 33c | 2,666$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.63 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 66c | 2,585$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…a962backed Yes | 66c | 2,400$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Yes | 70c | 2,257$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…2295backed Yes | 43c | 2,218$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 29c | 2,209$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.61 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…8d80backed Yes | 67c | 2,200$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada1…da7ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,120$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…505fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,100$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…4c68backed Yes | 1c | 2,020$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked Yes | 73c | 2,013$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +399.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 24c | 1,954$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…236fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,900$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…6b15backed Yes | 76c | 1,880$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…39c4backed Yes | 75c | 1,876$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 30c | 1,866$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 33c | 1,862$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.66 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 20c | 1,830$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…bdf2backed Yes | 67c | 1,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 36c | 1,721$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 31c | 1,720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1434backed Yes | 72c | 1,670$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 16c | 1,614$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…0f97backed Yes | 66c | 1,600$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 7c | 1,591$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,584$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 71c | 1,582$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 29c | 1,578$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.42 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 20c | 1,562$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 72c | 1,559$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,501$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 53c | 1,475$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.02 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked No | 33c | 1,464$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 20c | 1,456$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,450$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 53c | 1,419$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.1 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,400$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed Yes | 78c | 1,391$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…1fcfbacked No | 30c | 1,386$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…4af7backed No | 25c | 1,373$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked No | 25c | 1,347$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 39c | 1,338$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 48c | 1,300$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 34c | 1,298$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…06e8backed Yes | 72c | 1,283$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…b3f0backed Yes | 71c | 1,273$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 27c | 1,246$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed Yes | 78c | 1,231$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 25c | 1,224$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 71c | 1,224$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 27c | 1,207$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…b7bbbacked No | 29c | 1,199$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.