TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd42…8895

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
436
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 67 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT7439.2%29 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.20per pick19cpaid+102%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$354.56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$204.93
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.42
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+232.2%+$402.11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.88
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+443.6%+$2,838.24
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+525%+$550.84
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+232.2%+$143.77
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$319.8
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$322.09
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$81.11
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$639.46
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$559.4
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$361.72
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$161.88
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+270.4%+$864.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$712.08
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$319.94
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+145.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+336.8%+$144.61
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+584.9%+$211.24
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+580.3%+$300.06
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,062.8%+$539.04
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+269%+$968.11
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.28
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+257.1%+$308.16
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+257.1%+$308.16
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+354.5%+$1,488.24
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.92
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$546.46
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$185.2
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.98
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.64
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$299.78
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+447.6%+$2,046.05
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+426.3%+$336.81
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+525%+$1,574.15
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+373.9%+$191.32
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+458.1%+$317.66
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+378.5%+$604.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$149.53
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$319.99
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+785%+$532.47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$119.88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105.43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$331.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$203.93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$419.9
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,366.11
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+392.6%+$1,176.37
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$221.38
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$320.73
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119.83
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+669.2%+$2,006.22
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$599.46
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$299.71
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick22cpaid+119.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$540.2
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.42
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.16
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,194.75
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,099.49
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$360.08
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$407.75
Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.74
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.21
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$260.38
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.4
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$254.79
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.13
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+700%+$2,100
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+221.5%+$664.2
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$119.7
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+488.2%+$359.05
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+525%+$1,574.16
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$343.52
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$83.53
All 25 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$375.67
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96.17
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$266.34
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$119.88
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+809.1%+$358.93
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$119.95
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$119.88
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$166.37
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500.28
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$54.83
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$419.98
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+354.5%+$161.62
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$204.03
Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+298.4%+$458.11
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+809.1%+$263.53
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick14cpaid+500.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$49.54
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$93.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.79
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+316.7%+$125.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+8,990.9%+$1,118.94
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+376.2%+$150.1
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+545.8%+$136.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$90.59
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$319.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$281.65
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$41.41
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$74.9
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$206.81
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$457.97
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+455.6%+$91.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.12
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$77.61
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$1,280
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$639.86
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$319.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$319.92
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+809.1%+$286.43
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$319.96
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$289.82
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$314.97
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$119.89
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$160.34
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$314.96
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+300%+$104.42
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$599.78
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+669.2%+$776.62
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$910.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$175.73
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64.69
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$259.8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$259.6
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.03
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$94.9
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$57.87
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$950
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.97
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$73.53
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$74.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+246.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$419.72
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$419.76
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$419.9
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$250.3
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+733.3%+$3,080
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+3,233.3%+$325.38
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$419.84
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$419.58
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,194.36
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$529.65
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$93.65
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick18cpaid+142.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$412.41
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+400%+$62.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+354.5%+$86.35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+354.5%+$44.79
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$419.76
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.81
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+809.1%+$2,426.14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+373.9%+$280.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick12cpaid+977.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,923.87
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$419.7
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+2,208.6%+$229.19
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+9,900%+$1,601.93
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$513.58
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$299.84
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$299.68
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+825.9%+$305.17
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$65.15
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$224.49
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$119.7
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+477.5%+$1,144.34
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+565.3%+$1,124.44
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$106.89
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90.24
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+669.2%+$138
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$239.9
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60.77
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$299.88
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$299.78
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$599.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$1,231.52
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$118.79
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$353.44
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$184.88
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$299.82
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$299.78
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+455.6%+$89
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+455.6%+$1,003.46
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.46per pick18cpaid+320.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$449.93
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$487.32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+316.7%+$81.79
Will Meta (META) close above $760 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+488.2%+$66.1
Will Tesla dip to $338 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+356.6%+$490.43
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+426.3%+$118.49
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$419.86
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$419.9
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$215.75
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$137.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+295.3%+$884.43
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.66
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+332.9%+$179.18
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135.58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+525%+$1,574.16
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.09
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$299.74
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$316.48
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+809.1%+$2,426.14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.77
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+387.8%+$1,628.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.86
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$74.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+389.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+2,400%+$240
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.82
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39.78
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+488.2%+$153.55
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+525%+$210
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+596.1%+$97.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick15cpaid+150.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick15cpaid+139.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$293.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$479.35
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+614.3%+$81.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.99
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikosbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$293.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+461.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+461.8%+$1,141.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$539.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.