Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd2227fc63954a587cebb6bd3a24bbdaf3879a83d14a1a6ace50fd319b78d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f22…b832backed No | 0c | 47,860$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…a79bbacked No | 0c | 23,396$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 0c | 13,870$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 55c | 5,254$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 43c | 4,682$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 0c | 4,650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…bd01backed No | 52c | 4,587$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 53c | 4,433$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…e8eebacked No | 0c | 4,072$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 40c | 3,243$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 0c | 2,853$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…4fa6backed Yes | 48c | 2,790$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,730$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.49 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 55c | 2,236$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 31c | 2,002$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.42 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 16c | 1,874$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +977.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 8c | 1,454$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,332$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.64 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,327$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 51c | 1,324$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.77 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…82b2backed Yes | 47c | 1,301$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 49c | 1,299$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…57ccbacked Yes | 58c | 1,184$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 63c | 1,174$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.24 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…eec4backed No | 43c | 1,138$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 53c | 1,063$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 48c | 1,000$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…716fbacked No | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 44c | 999.99$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 999.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 47c | 969.39$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed No | 69c | 865.86$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 43c | 799.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…5048backed Yes | 28c | 752.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 749.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 51c | 743.82$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6b67backed Yes | 66c | 701.3$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…df5abacked No | 66c | 650.5$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c8…ec00backed Yes | 60c | 630$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 55c | 619.39$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed No | 60c | 610$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed Yes | 53c | 607$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626b…6780backed No | 51c | 600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 45c | 564.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 58c | 553.04$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Yes | 33c | 510.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed Yes | 30c | 496.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…94bbbacked No | 51c | 462.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed Yes | 41c | 460.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 55c | 433.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 50c | 416$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 43c | 413.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 24c | 412.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 38c | 400.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 45c | 393.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 40c | 384$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 53c | 374.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 49c | 370.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked No | 44c | 370$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…1784backed Yes | 56c | 370$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 49c | 361.89$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…79a6backed No | 63c | 357.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 24c | 339.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 70c | 321$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…52dabacked No | 63c | 319.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 310.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 47c | 309.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…3bedbacked Yes | 49c | 306.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…31aebacked No | 49c | 304.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 296.7$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 40c | 296.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 52c | 289.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0331…ba65backed No | 69c | 279.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…4586backed No | 53c | 273.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…7c76backed No | 66c | 269.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 45c | 267$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 55c | 266$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…6ffbbacked No | 55c | 263.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked No | 44c | 256.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…2af6backed No | 64c | 243.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 34cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 42c | 230.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed Yes | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 222$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed No | 44c | 216.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 40c | 215.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…bbf0backed No | 48c | 213.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 52c | 208.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…121abacked No | 49c | 204.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Yes | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 46c | 202.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.