TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x45b2…cbc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,622
Categories scored
45
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6219.8%61 W · 560 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 621 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$315.79
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$91.68
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Showing 25 of 621 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT15625%39 W · 117 L+17.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+79.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$794.21
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.76
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.86
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,199.99
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$57.32
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.06
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,464.12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$568.32
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,004.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+443.8%+$1,453.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.76
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.92
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$852.48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.53
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT8320.5%17 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,159.64
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.93
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.89
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+458.7%+$117.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.97
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.87
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.97
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.86
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$754.81
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.97
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.98
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+452.5%+$1,356.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$1,680.9
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT7526.7%20 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+63.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$136.8
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$626.04
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+525%+$785.16
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,098.7
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+423.6%+$377.02
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$442.34
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$160.77
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.24
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.58
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5510.9%6 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$552.25
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.64
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.68
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.86
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.93
Will "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.26
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.87
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.95
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+248.4%+$496.25
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.78
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$906.1
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.74
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5311.3%6 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.06
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.81
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.14
Will "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.86
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.28
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.19
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.42
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.97
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.76
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+663.4%+$1,313.55
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.12
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.84
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+385.4%+$616.14
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.9
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT4912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PG&E (PCG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Carmax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+373.9%+$63.79
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$250.56
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+488.2%+$50.92
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+327.4%+$98.05
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.77
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.84
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.97
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.66
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.89
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.84
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.62
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$152.54
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.63
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.16
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.64
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.54
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4418.2%8 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+128.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $285?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$590.1
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 22 above $340?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.91
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $280?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$190.64
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.71
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$202
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+491.4%+$319.94
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.9
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.8
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+488.2%+$240.12
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $137?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $136?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+663.4%+$1,060.18
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,366.12
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$782.1
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.7
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.86
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.17
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.89
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.08
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.64
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+735%+$2,906.58
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.62
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+376.2%+$600.38
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$159.68
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66.44
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.84
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Sedriques Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jafel Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.78
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.55
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.84
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.84
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed JJ Aldrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,213.92
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jamie Siraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$2,426.14
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Loopy Godínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Charles Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$457.28
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.89
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.49
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$636
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+352.5%+$140.22
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+474.7%+$99.56
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.86
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.88
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$153.5
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.6
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+809.1%+$1,294.06
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$159.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+329.2%+$232.7
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.91
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.84
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.25
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.87
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.92
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.8
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$198.85
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.98
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$219.64
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+344.4%+$550.24
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$111.48
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+614.3%+$245.1
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Breece Hall be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.24
Will Arvell Reese be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will Sonny Styles be drafted in the top 5 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.08
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$76.99
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$99.05
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+733.3%+$732.16
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$1,566.04
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$135.72
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+376.2%+$376.04
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66.48
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159.89
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+733.3%+$969.78
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$159.88
Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.88
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39.37
All 25 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 1 - 2 Hammarby IF?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.64
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Exact Score: Kalmar FF 3 - 0 Orgryte IS?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Exact Score: Kalmar FF 2 - 0 Orgryte IS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5)backed Orgryte IS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will AIK win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)backed Halmstads BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed Mjallby AIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$79.78
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)backed Konyaspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,133.03
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.95
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.9
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+321.9%+$708.06
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.84
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.19
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$219.51
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$194.8
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$219.66
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$219.96
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,612.15
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.88
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+669.2%+$408.88
Will Shams Charania score in the 2026 Celebrity All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70.53
All 22 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$648.4
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$319.78
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$159.62
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+525%+$181.89
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.56
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.39
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$157.64
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,172.16
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.75
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$159.89
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$159.83
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$159.94
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$159.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$798.28
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+663.4%+$1,326.07
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.94
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.77
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$982.12
Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.8
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.57
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.84
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$144.74
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.12
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$291.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.73
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.97
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+298.4%+$894.31
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+739.7%+$2,871.9
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+456.4%+$1,002.34
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.8
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$159.6
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,062.8%+$1,700.04
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.8
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.92
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.84
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.92
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$528.02
Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.9
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.72
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.88
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.67
North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.09
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$172.54
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Gangwon FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $25B and $28B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$376.7
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.4B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.41
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.52
Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be less than $1.9B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $850M and $900M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+509.8%+$52.38
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$243.09
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.91
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.64
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.96
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.87
Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Aldrich Potgieter finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Sepp Straka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,133.05
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+123.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.14
Zuffa Boxing 4: Palma vs. Jr. (Featherweight, Main)backed Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,612.14
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+385.4%+$384.3
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+614.3%+$108.36
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$159.98
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+323.7%+$516.46
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$159.9
Will the fight end in Round 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$159.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.84
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$361.54
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,842.12
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.89
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+484.8%+$90.36
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$159.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarrobacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$1,272.18
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$219.84
Antalya 2: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$160.16
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$160
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Nicolas Jarry vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Pune: Felix Gill vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,278.18
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159.96
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$219.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.