Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1464e98f86351f021f543fea8f46b0b862556c1bf60f1237cae7bd0f533e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 27c | 3,269$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,853$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.94 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,744$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 1,077$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.88 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 961.61$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.55 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 878.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.03 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 792.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 76c | 789.54$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 32c | 599.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…21adbacked No | 80c | 563.63$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 501.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.34 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 76c | 473.68$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 431.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 426.78$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 423.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 415.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 74c | 340$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 41c | 282.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 249.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 73c | 185.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…ed8bbacked Yes | 80c | 172.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 68c | 169.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 71c | 161$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 150.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 99.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 63.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Yes | 20c | 63.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 19.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 67c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will IFK Goteborg vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.