Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ec1d4349a69e68e58f470b68df188f1323e3a9d02a3818cae053696409d7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 19,063$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,493.66 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 3,381$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.55 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 2,735$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.93 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 2,239$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.33 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,133$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed No | 75c | 1,659$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 1,138$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.62 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 954.93$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.26 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 904.39$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 626.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 48c | 612.92$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 45c | 609.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Yes | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 46c | 501.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 454$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 454$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 453.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 53c | 369.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 49c | 365.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 56c | 362.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 263.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed No | 56c | 219.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…334ebacked Yes | 49c | 182.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 51c | 172.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 171.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 12c | 155$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 55c | 148.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 45c | 142.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 60c | 122.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 49c | 114.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 93.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 45c | 71.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…6f19backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked No | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 42c | 59.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…4e2abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 51c | 58.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed No | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 54c | 52.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 55c | 51.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 56c | 51.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 55c | 49.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 60c | 48.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 29c | 47.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Yes | 46c | 45.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 44.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 55c | 42.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked No | 64c | 39.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 47c | 34.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 54c | 24.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 56c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bc…886abacked No | 53c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 17.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will IFK Goteborg vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.