Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IFK Goteborg vs. AIK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993ce669abe28c04fb91faf54d1407da425b57ae20d37e6c74aefb69da4041cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 2,021$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…b1a8backed No | 75c | 1,326$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,325$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.49 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 67c | 1,174$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,109$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 947.23$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 21c | 499.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 400.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 208.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 179.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 32c | 126.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked No | 62c | 95.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 50c | 57.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 57c | 47.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked No | 59c | 43.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 64c | 37.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed No | 67c | 30.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Goteborg vs. AIK end in a draw?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.