Fed Rates · resolved market

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf93d398885428bdbffe2e2e1f726ba3e9554891fdc2338600f9b05d3308e3b2

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,095 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f5d…1324backed Yes	69c	2,247$1,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.17	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+147%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec88…09cebacked No	48c	2,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d41…7675backed Yes	53c	2,000$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed No	1c	1,188$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…8dc0backed Yes	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+36%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d7…b775backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked No	56c	877$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed Yes	44c	877$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f7…42a9backed No	31c	828.36$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.29	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde06…41fbbacked Yes	51c	780$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.49	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No	32c	670$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.4	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc3…724dbacked Yes	53c	575.49$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.45	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No	74c	574.99$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.01	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No	7c	571$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No	42c	565.06$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.57	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+143.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x809d…c03dbacked Yes	55c	549.59$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.59	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	35cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ec…71f4backed No	20c	540.5$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	60c	531.72$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.25	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed No	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No	5c	493.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+185.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44b…ec9abacked Yes	52c	420.46$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No	50c	400$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.04	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No	5c	390.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…d994backed Yes	53c	365$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No	7c	357$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe6…7b73backed Yes	52c	352$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa124…3452backed Yes	53c	324$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9879…8ceabacked Yes	53c	315$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes	80c	312.28$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.73	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eae…5e6dbacked No	27c	306.11$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.65	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9813…bdcebacked Yes	53c	306$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	46c	299.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	129	41.1%53 W · 76 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes	65c	294.54$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	19c	289$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.91	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-66%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	40c	256.25$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	13c	250.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed No	33c	216.02$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.78	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed Yes	50c	203.97$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.85	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8965…9830backed No	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+7.0wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No	43c	198.12$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.69	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No	43c	190$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.44	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	39c	177.92$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.89	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-7.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd25f…b448backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No	30c	155$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No	26c	152.77$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed Yes	52c	151$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.48	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Yes	68c	150.81$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.88	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa834…71aebacked No	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.02	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	65cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	30c	146.6$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3c…30ddbacked No	77c	130.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	16c	129.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb436…a091backed No	74c	125.44$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	52c	105.83$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.41	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917c…66f2backed No	51c	105.14$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Yes	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed No	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ddd…8956backed No	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed No	28c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes	55c	90.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.36	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed No	36c	85.04$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.86	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked No	18c	83.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	53c	77.95$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.87	138	29.7%41 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes	65c	77.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c9…17afbacked No	44c	73.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No	21c	71.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6836…d72bbacked Yes	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	56cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked No	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…800abacked No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24aa…7e0abacked Yes	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8db…b27cbacked No	32c	49.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed No	41c	48.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…22a1backed No	42c	47.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked No	52c	47.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	48c	45.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	107	13.1%14 W · 93 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No	42c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No	42c	44.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ef…c393backed No	32c	40.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cc…852fbacked No	43c	40.11$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf6…7521backed No	58c	39.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc9…0b92backed No	57c	38.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5d…a77abacked No	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7e…a2e3backed Yes	35c	32$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed No	32c	31.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	49c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	38c	30.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d3…752fbacked Yes	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb34a…6e39backed No	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f3…2676backed Yes	49c	28.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+106.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795a…812fbacked No	56c	28.48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	57c	28.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes	43c	28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	56cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked No	71c	28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…fb3fbacked Yes	48c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	38cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8402…3c46backed Yes	51c	20.36$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	64cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa594…5bb8backed No	56c	19.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…8bedbacked Yes	65c	15.92$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc8…9490backed No	76c	15.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event