TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe193…cc85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT6457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,183.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,808Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,206.65
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,636.43
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$4,878.14
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,541.42
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37,248.06
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$112.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,944.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,647Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,828.95
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.96
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$933.24
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,780
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,396.13
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,741.8
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.97
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$552
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,449.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.98
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$594.86
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.69
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$1,070
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,345.51
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$755.18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.79
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.94
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.99
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,203.95
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$983.43
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,688.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$7,212.72
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,707.59
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.39
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.34
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,786.11
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$841.75
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.36
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.4
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.01
Savannah: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$245.37
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+32%+$430.93
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jesper de Jongbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
BMW Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagalbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$265.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.74
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.06
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,369.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.26
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$521.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.94
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,555.2
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11,350.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.