TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,912 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c19,227$9,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,177.5925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Over52c15,480$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,430.483053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c9,462$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.962,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c6,580$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.961,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under48c4,148$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.29244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under48c4,008$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.691833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c3,131$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.9112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c2,403$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.2319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under48c2,118$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,771$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.5846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under45c1,516$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Under49c1,383$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under59c1,257$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.682958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over53c1,153$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.732343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under47c1,139$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.1816341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under48c1,131$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.821650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,130$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c1,046$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c1,041$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.637753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f72…62eabacked Over54c991.31$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under48c991.26$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.814957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over58c977.29$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.643,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c943.64$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5114447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over53c872.31$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9911542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Under47c821.08$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under47c821.08$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.918444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over54c788.3$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.648754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under46c775.07$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5418556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over52c728.52$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.698254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over53c724.12$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.827258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c576$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.481,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over55c544$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.69545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under48c516.28$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.825246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under48c435.43$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0110458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under58c429.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.853372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under48c418.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.048046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17e…c12ebacked Under48c413.09$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under47c397$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5918048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under47c397$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.595552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c395$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Over52c337$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c334.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3722250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Over52c332$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.361241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under45c330.45$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.721830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c329.82$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9811456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under45c324.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.054143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under45c305.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.513343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under49c229.39$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4414346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over52c222.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…780dbacked Over53c211.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under48c209.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2952843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af2…de45backed Under48c204.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Over42c199.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3b…4b00backed Over53c199.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.168245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.165543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1c…4dafbacked Over49c196.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Over49c194.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under49c192.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.565341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd96f…7883backed Under48c192.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x935e…6a6bbacked Under48c185.74$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c7backed Over53c184.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1111844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1183350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked Under48c178.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…25ebbacked Over53c177.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf567…c3dcbacked Under48c175.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29d…ab4ebacked Over53c163.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed Over53c161.59$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under45c159.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c159.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.581,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd8…a07dbacked Under48c156.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over55c155.01$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7511257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8f…99e1backed Under48c151.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9660%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed Over53c150.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over54c149.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.515265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb507…4e79backed Under48c144.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…4804backed Over53c141.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over55c126.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.784257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over59c124.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.573357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c120.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6410443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under49c118.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.312344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under43c117.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Under48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.567045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c100.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5235…a0bdbacked Over55c99.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.581,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c87.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Under48c82.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.657162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c79.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0613356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under32c77.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.818543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c69.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4429650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.