TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6797…42fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$22.14
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$95.83
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$261.43
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+98%+$58.82
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+239.9%+$239.86
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.78
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$51.97
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$76.21
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$70.73
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.33
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$26.15
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$229.97
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$243.3
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.64
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.62
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.83
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.21
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$281.82
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$699.57
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.06
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$811.39
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$290.86
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+61%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.4%+$77.12
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$61.2
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$234
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$132.5
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+209%+$186.95
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+257.1%+$28.8
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+228%+$135.66
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+237.6%+$42.76
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$104.28
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.03
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 21)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.97
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$38.78
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$81.55
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$80.34
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.9%+$29.78
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questionsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$37.8
Will Keir Starmer say "Emergency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+103.6%+$25.91
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.8%+$21.71
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+149.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+76.6%+$22.98
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+320.2%+$112.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$207.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.