Music · resolved market
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x084b3d2d01d11b3146324aaf1a7743894fd6e443843834bff885c5008bbf8736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 21,060$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 71c | 16,598$11,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.43 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 14,370$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.42 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 61c | 13,611$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 11,550$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 66c | 9,231$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 53c | 7,754$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.1 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 51c | 7,006$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.48 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 6,338$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…5e2abacked Yes | 67c | 6,000$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 39c | 5,422$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.42 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 51c | 3,987$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 41c | 3,693$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.06 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 49c | 3,291$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.34 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 65c | 3,213$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 39c | 3,154$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.54 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 33c | 3,093$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 31c | 2,789$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…59b7backed Yes | 76c | 2,615$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 60c | 2,602$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 34c | 2,292$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 29c | 2,291$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.82 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 55c | 2,199$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.48 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 51c | 2,101$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.31 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 39c | 1,961$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Yes | 59c | 1,685$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,582$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 42c | 1,525$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes | 61c | 1,524$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 25c | 1,494$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3881backed Yes | 74c | 1,446$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 30c | 1,324$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 35c | 1,311$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.83 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 25c | 1,257$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 23c | 1,256$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 72c | 1,238$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 1,231$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 1,230$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…a0d0backed Yes | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 36c | 1,170$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 50c | 1,132$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked No | 27c | 1,060$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a450backed Yes | 74c | 1,039$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 34c | 1,002$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…9070backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed Yes | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…e738backed Yes | 70c | 997.95$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…b2f4backed No | 41c | 959$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 66c | 921.8$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.44 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…5d9ebacked No | 41c | 909$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 47c | 906$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 58c | 902$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…f94cbacked Yes | 80c | 878.29$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed No | 39c | 875$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 59c | 872$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 59c | 858$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 59c | 843$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 25c | 814$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 49c | 782.38$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 46c | 757.2$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 40c | 749.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.38 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0f2ebacked Yes | 80c | 746.23$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed No | 41c | 705$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 56c | 704.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 78c | 691.05$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 39c | 649$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…5152backed Yes | 67c | 647.28$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 37c | 634.15$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 42c | 584$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 27c | 577.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 42c | 576$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 78c | 575.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 65c | 555$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…85a6backed Yes | 72c | 552.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 64c | 543.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 30c | 539.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…7cd1backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 67c | 483$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 24c | 445.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked No | 44c | 444.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…4ad6backed Yes | 69c | 434.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c12fbacked Yes | 74c | 430.36$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 70c | 408.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…16ffbacked Yes | 74c | 404.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 36c | 386$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 39c | 385.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked No | 27c | 372.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.