Music · resolved market
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f220b7cd8a773e0eb231d3ab4b984f0746e6ecbf6830aac6ec53966a9c76b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,325$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 52c | 3,752$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.4 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 38c | 3,600$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.51 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 47c | 2,918$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.22 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 63c | 2,376$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 2,202$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.45 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,924$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 1,453$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 18c | 1,418$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 52c | 1,277$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 67c | 1,265$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.99 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 64c | 1,139$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.37 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 38c | 1,024$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 905.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 48c | 843.98$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.59 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 17c | 732.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…9fffbacked Yes | 59c | 694.48$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 44c | 670.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 79c | 595$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 14c | 583$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +747.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 62c | 524$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 19c | 517.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed Yes | 50c | 482.65$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 56c | 468.94$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…35afbacked Yes | 31c | 427.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…cee9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…4859backed Yes | 25c | 384.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 17c | 384.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…259bbacked No | 55c | 366.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 336.58$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…6857backed Yes | 48c | 312.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 20c | 297.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 58c | 271$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…773dbacked No | 37c | 269.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.60per pick | 28cpaid | +784.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 234.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 59c | 222.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed Yes | 46c | 217.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…7bd7backed Yes | 20c | 208.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 48c | 203.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…8b5bbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 51c | 194.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 47c | 189.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 51c | 189.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…a23abacked Yes | 59c | 169.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 20c | 167.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed Yes | 63c | 161.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…e27abacked Yes | 27c | 156.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…0a38backed Yes | 24c | 155.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 63c | 141.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 50c | 132.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 20c | 115.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 38c | 109.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…b9d1backed No | 51c | 108.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…8a36backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…61f4backed Yes | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 21c | 102.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 46c | 100.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…6ddbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…ca8ebacked Yes | 20c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…624bbacked Yes | 22c | 92.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +267.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…30c6backed Yes | 25c | 80.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…b683backed Yes | 40c | 73.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 48c | 70.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…652abacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…3faabacked Yes | 19c | 65.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 38c | 63.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…8b3bbacked Yes | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 59c | 59.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 39c | 57.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…672ebacked No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked Yes | 26c | 52.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…3d25backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…62aebacked Yes | 21c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 77c | 48.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…4a7dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…9582backed Yes | 25c | 43.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 47c | 40.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b0…427ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.