TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,325$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.32323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed No52c3,752$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.48140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No38c3,600$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.516334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes47c2,918$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.2214315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2df9…4534backed Yes63c2,376$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No56c2,202$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.4510529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes37c1,924$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No79c1,453$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.455743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes18c1,418$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.541315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+313.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No52c1,277$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.216250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No67c1,265$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.996339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked No64c1,139$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.376144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked No38c1,024$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes4c905.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.227121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes48c843.98$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5910235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes17c732.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.753327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7a…9fffbacked Yes59c694.48$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No44c670.63$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.187425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No79c595$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.658737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes14c583$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.471513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+747.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…b409backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+73.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes62c524$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f64…32b3backed Yes19c517.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes47c499.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x246a…19b8backed Yes50c482.65$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes56c468.94$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.224924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x846a…35afbacked Yes31c427.28$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…cee9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae3…4859backed Yes25c384.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes17c384.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.588234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…259bbacked No55c366.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No74c336.58$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1312835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…6857backed Yes48c312.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes20c297.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.632733.3%9 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No58c271$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.794434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8e…773dbacked No37c269.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.57887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.60per pick28cpaid+784.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes6c234.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.066710.4%7 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.268739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No59c222.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2622927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e6…6423backed Yes46c217.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e12…7bd7backed Yes20c208.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked No48c203.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44267.7%2 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-88.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ac1…8b5bbacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes51c194.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.451625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No47c189.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes51c189.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.642821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3951…a23abacked Yes59c169.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9634…aae2backed Yes20c167.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9297…0068backed Yes63c161.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.47per pick60cpaid-83.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3122…e27abacked Yes27c156.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9e…0a38backed Yes24c155.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No63c141.2$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.435030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…c524backed Yes50c132.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.753053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes20c122$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes20c115.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked No38c109.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.995335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17e…b9d1backed No51c108.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2610…8a36backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7152…61f4backed Yes19c102.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked No21c102.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.867549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes46c100.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.53256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…6ddbbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8dd…9b5abacked No33c99.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.044148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578b…ca8ebacked Yes20c99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3660%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5e…624bbacked Yes22c92.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+267.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4927…30c6backed Yes25c80.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa302…b683backed Yes40c73.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes48c70.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.845349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…652abacked Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0478…3faabacked Yes19c65.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed No38c63.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.344418.2%8 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-38.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7924732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+320%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a9…8b3bbacked Yes64c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2691…232fbacked Yes59c59.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353250%16 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3b2…da22backed Yes39c57.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes56c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.927145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9040…672ebacked No54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…809ebacked Yes26c52.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eaa…3d25backed Yes59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…62aebacked Yes21c49.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed No77c48.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.062433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb43b…4a7dbacked Yes44c45.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Yes44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-92.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897a…4194backed No53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…9582backed Yes25c43.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes53c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.724042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes47c40.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4b0…427ebacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.