TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe66e…946b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,035
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$349.03
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$744
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+151%+$818.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.14
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$406.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$325.17
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+855.8%+$247.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$523.32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.03
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$444.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117%+$688.02
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.3
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.5
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$511
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$259
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$272
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$189
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$116.1
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$93.24
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.98
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$780
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$356
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$164.79
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$85.8
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$16.38
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$192.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.89
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$193.91
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.45
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?backed Colapinto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$129.82
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$137.95
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$164.85
Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+215.2%+$34.36
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+356.8%+$133.29
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$332.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.