NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf45d40cf39c4f40617d7b752a040e4da4fa43535ed6d2e100a2f60a6fa2f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Kraken, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken | 37c | 47,758$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,670.38 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Sabres | 57c | 30,242$17,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,059.83 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Sabres | 63c | 18,931$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Kraken | 44c | 16,872$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.27 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Sabres | 63c | 14,293$9,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Sabres | 63c | 12,601$7,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kraken | 44c | 11,854$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 37c | 9,805$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.69 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres | 59c | 9,633$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.51 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 63c | 7,498$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.55 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 64c | 6,361$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.94 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Sabres | 62c | 6,359$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Sabres | 63c | 6,048$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sabres | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 63c | 5,985$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.45 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Sabres | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 64c | 5,400$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 53c | 5,056$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.37 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 63c | 5,031$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.54 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 63c | 4,603$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.07 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 62c | 4,472$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.51 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 55c | 4,358$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.89 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 60c | 4,093$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kraken | 36c | 4,052$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.55 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kraken | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken | 37c | 4,000$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.81 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres | 52c | 3,900$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.11 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 37c | 3,797$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 55c | 3,796$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Kraken | 36c | 3,785$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.7 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kraken | 60c | 3,568$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.07 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 52c | 3,099$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 36c | 3,008$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.44 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kraken | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 48c | 2,971$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.67 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 52c | 2,895$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Kraken | 64c | 2,877$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 43c | 2,830$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.25 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 34c | 2,794$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Sabres | 63c | 2,678$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Kraken | 66c | 2,655$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 36c | 2,600$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Kraken | 60c | 2,500$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kraken | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Sabres | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Sabres | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…edcebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,995$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…6bc1backed Sabres | 64c | 1,995$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…a33bbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,985$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…aa95backed Sabres | 64c | 1,985$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…57acbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,985$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3d27backed Kraken | 36c | 1,985$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Sabres | 59c | 1,982$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…6778backed Sabres | 64c | 1,980$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…2311backed Kraken | 36c | 1,980$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…10e7backed Sabres | 64c | 1,975$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…3d64backed Kraken | 36c | 1,975$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…ceffbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,970$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…56cfbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,970$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…0457backed Kraken | 36c | 1,965$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…ec5ebacked Sabres | 64c | 1,965$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…cc2ebacked Sabres | 64c | 1,965$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…d58ebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,965$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…0f87backed Sabres | 64c | 1,960$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…ce7fbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,960$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…a935backed Sabres | 64c | 1,960$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7c69backed Kraken | 36c | 1,960$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…b379backed Sabres | 64c | 1,950$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…3d52backed Kraken | 36c | 1,950$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…10f1backed Sabres | 63c | 1,946$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…d6c9backed Kraken | 36c | 1,940$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…eabdbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,940$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f0ddbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,925$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…8024backed Sabres | 64c | 1,925$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…4a30backed Kraken | 36c | 1,925$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…1001backed Kraken | 36c | 1,925$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…6f45backed Kraken | 36c | 1,920$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…6919backed Sabres | 64c | 1,920$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…2491backed Kraken | 36c | 1,920$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f0…26b5backed Sabres | 64c | 1,920$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…4b13backed Kraken | 36c | 1,915$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…84adbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,915$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…b73dbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,915$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…ea82backed Kraken | 36c | 1,915$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…bd86backed Sabres | 64c | 1,915$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…777abacked Sabres | 64c | 1,915$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebd…c277backed Kraken | 36c | 1,910$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…9c18backed Sabres | 64c | 1,910$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…3165backed Kraken | 36c | 1,910$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…0327backed Sabres | 64c | 1,910$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…1b39backed Sabres | 64c | 1,910$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9f…9c83backed Kraken | 36c | 1,910$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…068bbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,910$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0d…369fbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,910$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…e29ebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,905$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Sabresthis page
- Kraken vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.