TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe998…b7f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$4,225
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.47
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$6,240.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.48
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$103.32
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,943.51
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,368.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.61
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$7,631.47
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$159
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$8,250.46
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$100.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$965.35
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,709.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$104.13
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$102.96
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,810.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,599.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$4,558.11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,449.92
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.37
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,226
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,824.78
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,545.69
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$4,544.82
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,687.26
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.42
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,148.81
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,520.14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,929.06
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,407.45
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,252.6
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$348.82
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,254.05
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,185.93
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$711.28
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$562.79
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$460.04
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$375.8
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$287.77
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.6
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.09
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,050
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,173.84
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,925.64
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,392.78
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,786Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,270.69
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,516.51
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,810Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,237.87
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,014.86
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,529Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,968.45
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,862.88
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,753.75
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,882.76
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.65
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$650.46
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$447.55
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$675.34
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,968.22
Wild vs. Utahbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,172.05
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,841.85
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$437.56
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$484.33
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$366.12
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$444.37
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,121.76
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,542.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$793.18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,688.42
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,155.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,124.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.96
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$827.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,353.64
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,695.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$4,161.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,898.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,342.93
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$279.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$2,456.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,407.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,477.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,261.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,692.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,441.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$896
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$654.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$234.42
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$905.14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,507.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,329.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,289.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,193.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$655.82
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,159.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,724.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,239.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$983.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$278.17
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$297.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,464.77
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,529.07
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,027Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,295.15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$4,973.81
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,026.41
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004.62
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,770.11
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200.01
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$343.02
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,770.55
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,257.38
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$942.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,585.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,691.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,366.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$4,127.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,611.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,568.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.55
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,028.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$888.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,320.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,241.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499.84
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,416.51
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,298.27
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,610.7
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670.22
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,906.13
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,270.83
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$369.36
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,197.7
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$401.91
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$485.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,122.84
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Tahir Abdullayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$967.37
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,498.7
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.46
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$4,330.27
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,629.19
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$900.03
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,216.03
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$1,909.04
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,119.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$217.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.