TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,546,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,387,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,546,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c1,244,282$673,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570,637.472,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes52c1,223,377$641,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,412.939142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No49c1,138,826$557,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557,636.558440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No44c988,699$439,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439,407.4874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes51c912,056$466,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445,400.092,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes51c700,947$358,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,440.257433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c586,948$213,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,550.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes54c498,969$268,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230,422.2138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes52c442,936$229,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213,470.4115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No47c300,999$142,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,077.8477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked No43c299,997$128,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,998.831844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No49c299,997$146,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,998.3210740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No48c285,900$135,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,88814139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No50c270,333$133,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,894.47343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c250,152$127,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,515.922,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No44c250,000$111,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,012.459948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes54c205,635$110,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,022.7149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,00020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes50c190,538$95,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,459.9329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c168,310$79,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,115.7156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No7c165,172$11,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,288.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No49c159,998$78,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,399.2614349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No50c153,005$76,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,502.517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No49c151,915$74,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,438.181877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No49c150,000$73,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No50c148,270$74,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,212.895942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes62c133,449$82,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,686.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No50c123,697$61,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,269.099345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c115,845$56,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,763.9342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No49c108,653$53,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,153.247941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c107,292$53,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,984.061,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes56c107,143$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,142.8617840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No49c103,076$50,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,106.86149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes50c100,488$50,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,243.9721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes52c99,261$51,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,645.232055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No44c98,980$43,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,551.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No48c91,913$44,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,118.294858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes57c81,108$46,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,827.0424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes56c80,000$44,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,199.987150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No1c79,768$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.8620448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No46c77,191$35,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,667.9316244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes52c70,144$36,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,669.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No45c69,950$31,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,157.4523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No35c57,776$20,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,124.313533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No44c56,700$24,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,9486546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No3c56,544$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.3234122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No46c56,000$25,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,639.8816835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No33c50,155$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,750.3329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c48,923$21,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,661.051,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed No47c48,108$22,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,429.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No7c47,640$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No50c47,236$23,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,61817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes55c42,915$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,414.9832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed No44c42,495$18,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,697.612661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No46c42,019$19,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,206.5410556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x217b…c168backed Yes50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,6007342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes65c37,290$24,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,898.0931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No50c37,247$18,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,614.0150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No49c36,160$17,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,718.48845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c32,571$17,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,178.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No49c30,805$15,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,094.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No37c30,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.986842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No1c30,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No10c30,000$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No48c29,548$14,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,204.3848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No46c28,943$13,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,387.492,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a9…4a31backed Yes57c28,925$16,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,437.764060%24 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c28,859$14,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,066.3476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No43c28,533$12,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,269.27839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No26c27,659$7,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,088.9221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes66c27,237$17,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,322.7233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No49c26,560$13,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,061.6247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No43c26,250$11,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,287.476114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c26,227$13,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,333.531,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f3…f18ebacked No49c25,951$12,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,715.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No49c25,117$12,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,307.169322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No49c24,999$12,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.392245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No46c24,308$11,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,195.191,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No50c24,181$12,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,090.514843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked No50c23,899$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,949.53450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No48c23,892$11,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,524.1744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No49c23,362$11,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,447.3812255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No48c22,884$11,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,069.1216647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No46c22,266$10,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,309.8220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked No49c22,245$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No48c22,222$10,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.3821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No49c22,080$10,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,819.25244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes51c21,786$11,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,675.274829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No45c21,678$9,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,852.818631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No49c21,525$10,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,547.447544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes67c20,959$13,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,008.5742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c20,795$11,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No46c20,788$9,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,634.7836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No47c20,609$9,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,64413857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c20,446$10,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,955.5279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No53c20,439$10,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,868.9119850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No43c20,350$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,750.3420731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes52c20,326$10,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,756.814355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.