TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e0a…b9cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
361
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420.02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+560.4%+$34,112.13
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$853.99
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,882
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,329.45
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.4
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,087.8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,205.65
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,204
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,136.97
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,647
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,283.75
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,260
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$159.6
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$572.34
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$810.67
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,138.23
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$119.5
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$850.5
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$864
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.42
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.72
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.41
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$188.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.44
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$740.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$682.99
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$22.48
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.46
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.99
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.79
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.99
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$103
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.19
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$252
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.71
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$199
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43.4%+$60.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$54.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$903.72
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,434.91
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$546.78
Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,758.88
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$204.6
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.49
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.75
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.97
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$884.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$2,043.03
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36%+$10,811.4
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,764.38
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$9,154.91
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.39
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,376.06
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.47
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,599.88
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,024.12
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40%+$6,085.58
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$122.1
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$445
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.4
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.38
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.98
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.3%+$60.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+94.2%+$63.67
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$114.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$1,049
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,903.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+571.1%+$170.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,029.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$1,751.53
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$50.6
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$74.15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,573.74
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.8%+$233.86
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$148.94
Will Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40%+$80.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39%+$95.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+90.6%+$181.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$59.17
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$397.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$312
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.8%+$132.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.