Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb7ad4584f237d29d19b01db10ceda1a9a206dd7540e1f3f2b907831b007ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 43,481$17,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,259.45 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 18,176$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,167.78 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Under | 25c | 16,569$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,426.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 12,481$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.45 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…3591backed Over | 47c | 11,665$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 45c | 11,037$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…131cbacked Over | 70c | 10,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 66c | 9,000$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…aa3fbacked Over | 78c | 8,364$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 24c | 5,527$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.81 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 5,139$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Under | 22c | 5,020$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 46c | 4,856$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 77c | 4,230$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 71c | 4,220$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 76c | 4,077$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Over | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…f051backed Over | 80c | 3,773$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 3,192$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.73 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 75c | 2,933$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Over | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Over | 46c | 2,581$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 2,479$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.12 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 2,436$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 21c | 2,419$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.91 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 2,398$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 66c | 2,220$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over | 79c | 2,106$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 24c | 2,105$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.13 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 46c | 2,071$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 73c | 2,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 49c | 2,052$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 36c | 1,970$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 24c | 1,903$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.04 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 24c | 1,513$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,492$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 24c | 1,290$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.26 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Over | 54c | 1,200$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 27c | 1,172$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.59 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 26c | 1,140$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…afc3backed Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 7c | 1,098$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 1,085$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.15 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 58c | 1,019$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Under | 42c | 1,018$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 55c | 1,016$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…c4d8backed Under | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 42c | 967.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 56c | 954.55$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 36c | 931.77$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over | 70c | 899.16$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 20c | 846.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.3 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 842.48$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.39 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 59c | 840.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 24c | 806.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 66c | 798.56$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…64cdbacked Over | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 76c | 740.92$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 72c | 710$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 709.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 699.98$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 33c | 685.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0569backed Over | 75c | 685$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 681.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.03 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 652.99$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 52c | 644.72$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Under | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over | 7c | 559.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Under | 23c | 537.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Over | 77c | 513.49$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Over | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…d151backed Over | 76c | 499.93$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 60c | 489.27$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Under | 34c | 481.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 457.88$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.41 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…59f5backed Over | 53c | 451.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 62c | 450$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 24c | 450$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 24c | 445.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Over | 57c | 441.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 76c | 434.21$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…3eb3backed Over | 75c | 425.45$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 47c | 420$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 407.89$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.