TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa796…82fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$1,363.04
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$223.57
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$10,606.98
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$484.8
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,848.32
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11,429.23
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$6,782.51
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,906Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,148.6
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.41
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$1,388.77
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$401.98
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.02
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.74
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$117.31
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$162.27
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$391.11
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$81.43
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.04
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$208.03
All 22 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,073.54
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$442.94
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$10,425.37
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,500
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$12,292.05
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,559.88
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15,179.85
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,716.83
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$8,303.83
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.92
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$3,540.1
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$248.26
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.24
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$90.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,040
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.