South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21551f105e4493991ec4e78e7a1e162eb5597b97d85813ee1539fffbaba4cb98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 4,502$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,642$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,516$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 1,150$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 29c | 794.72$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.8 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 45c | 711.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 575.53$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 431.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 56c | 230.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed No | 58c | 163.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 76c | 139.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 134.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 21c | 122.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 18c | 119.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 116.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 101.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 96.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 92.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 13c | 81.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 81.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…c45ebacked Yes | 44c | 72.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…de1dbacked Yes | 43c | 70.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…711abacked Yes | 42c | 59.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 57c | 30.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 29.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 41c | 28.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Yes | 45c | 26.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked No | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…4f0dbacked Yes | 41c | 25.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked No | 57c | 23.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 52c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 21.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 64c | 21.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 72c | 21.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 59c | 18.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 73c | 16.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.