TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6e7…e57f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)backed Club Independiente Petrolero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.47
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48%+$28.72
Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$30.81
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.3
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$6.37
Will CA Huracán vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will CA Talleres vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.19
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.52
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.79
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.23
Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51.55
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.7
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$59.68
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.