South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700499dd39941bcae56ba32022580a9858b5d4d97633b0ffe2b7dd35f22816d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,540 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 9,810$5,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 7,513$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 4,499$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.39 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 66c | 2,486$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.96 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,152$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.1 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 1,861$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 54c | 1,611$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed No | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,336$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 53c | 1,003$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.51 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 10c | 765.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 43c | 721.55$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.37 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 65c | 714$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 7c | 561.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 531.63$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 409.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 35c | 335.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 50c | 265$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 52c | 254.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 79c | 252.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 234.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 229.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 76c | 197.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed No | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked No | 54c | 175.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed No | 54c | 159.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 34c | 150.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 58c | 138.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 73c | 137.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 118.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 42c | 114.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 104.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 103.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 80.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 70.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 38c | 64.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 60c | 51.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 75c | 48.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked No | 54c | 39.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…1084backed Yes | 39c | 38.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 53c | 38.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 48c | 37.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 53c | 35.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 35c | 34.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Yes | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Yes | 52c | 32.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Yes | 71c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.