TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e49…ae9d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
576
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
29

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6924.6%17 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$200.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$61.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,153.22
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$107.4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.1%+$42.61
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.43
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+351.7%+$1,608.83
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+526.8%+$1,673.05
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.81
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$4.29
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+111%+$176.43
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+67%+$10.68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$6.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+55%+$21.29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+227%+$36.71
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$1,350.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.61
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.76
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.68
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.83
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$133.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.67
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.17
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$232.52
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,787.24
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,267.74
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,921Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,999.5
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,218.14
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.77
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.87
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,122.64
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,161.35
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,817.86
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$574.07
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.98
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,250
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,872.15
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.24
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,247.14
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$336.96
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,389.63
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$533.94
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.05
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$916.64
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,409.69
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.15
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,213.61
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$30.04
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$12.16
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.66
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98%+$39.24
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+91%+$24.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$18.63
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.37
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49%+$6.62
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.47
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$100.3
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$14.72
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$24.8
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56%+$130.21
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+234.3%+$247.99
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+220.4%+$119.12
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.84
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.65
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.96
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+375%+$581.85
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.62
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.58
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$93.82
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.63
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-93.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.8%+$7.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.16
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.31
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.36
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$314.23
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$133.97
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$138.64
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$95.28
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$111.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Madrid Open: Magda Linette vs Iva Jovicbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.17
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$18.93
Oeiras 4: Whitney Osuigwe vs Ayana Aklibacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.26
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Andrej Nedicbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Savannah: Michael Mmoh vs Franco Roncadellibacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rome: Laslo Djere vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$11.67
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Shymkent: Oleksii Krutykh vs Andrej Nedicbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Shymkent: Mili Poljicak vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$33.48
Madrid Open, Qualification: Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Denis Yevseyevbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanovbacked Amir Omarkhanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$32.6
Delray Beach Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Delray Beach Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marcos Gironbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.31
Rio Open: Gustavo Heide vs Vit Koprivabacked Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.8
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$35.49
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$64.62
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$118.55
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.64
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will CA Unión vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$63.04
Will CA Platense vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.78
Will CF América win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+101.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.42
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$14.49
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$45.16
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.79
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.74
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+429.1%+$107.28
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.92
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,923.5%+$416.54
Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.28
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.75
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.32
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+608.2%+$656.99
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-86.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.8
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,005.09
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.85
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,836.39
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177%+$164.84
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Singapore vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$15.52
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$132
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.78
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,640.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.8
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+125.7%+$51.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$487.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$155.09
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$6.83
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.94
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$392.91
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$6.18
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.21
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.32
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.37
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luan Lacerda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Nassourdine Imavov fight Sean Strickland next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$7.39
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$609.09
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$239.01
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.9%+$125.75
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zhang Weili win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$75
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$48.05
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.55
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$75
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.84
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+1,690%+$208.65
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$22.75
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.72
Will Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$12.94
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.3
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+467.2%+$337.41
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73.15
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.3%+$41.24
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.93
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$1,227.83
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$923.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+300.1%+$1,200.28
Will Solana reach $100 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.04
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$768.1
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kirk Cousins play for Chicago Bears in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Kirk Cousins play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+1,357.3%+$395.38
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$122.35
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200.3
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.2
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$163.79
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.27per pick33cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.42
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.81
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+229%+$114.49
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.37
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.8
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$41.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.04
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$108.16
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$304.22
Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+248.3%+$57.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.54
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$3,600
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+842.3%+$10,859.16
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.95
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.94
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.27
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$45.89
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,699.43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$415.43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+168.5%+$5,644.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.33
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$187.25
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+934%+$260.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.62
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.24
Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+168.3%+$25.9
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$460.96
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.63
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.12
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $5.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$422.57
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.48
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.44
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+201.8%+$48.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.2%+$10.27
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$234.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.17
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+186.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$133.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.