TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes15c1,515$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.722859.1%26 W · 259 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes21c1,500$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4718618.3%34 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes27c1,443$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9537830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes27c1,210$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.421,03811.1%115 W · 923 L+4.7wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes21c1,006$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3215819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes20c843.84$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.292,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked No71c515.06$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda9e…ac09backed No69c500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c475.22$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.865240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No77c411.48$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.259058.9%53 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes27c399.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10842628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c299.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,0535.6%59 W · 994 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed No70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010727.1%29 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes20c290.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.051159.6%11 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ba…4586backed Yes28c290$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.23732.4%12 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeed0…8817backed Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702425%6 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.587533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes20c220.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0814928.2%42 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbad…0661backed Yes29c208.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes7c205$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.352727%19 W · 253 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb2…7f19backed No69c197.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+62.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ca5…6aecbacked No77c188.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.212133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked Yes18c169.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.522040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a6…abe7backed Yes30c165.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ddf…4479backed No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…48c7backed Yes29c155$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.955414.8%8 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.240016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes24c139.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22119%4 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes24c131.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-93.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes26c131.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7451845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5df…307dbacked Yes19c124.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f80…7a52backed No79c107$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.575238.5%20 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes31c106.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0779735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Yes17c105.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+85.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No69c104.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2731565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838010%38 W · 342 L+0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22fa…8135backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74325.6%11 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick12cpaid+188.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6826167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes12c91.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes16c85.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6733027.9%92 W · 238 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes21c76.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89e1…5323backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204820.8%10 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b8…f901backed Yes22c72.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c55…8e08backed No68c70.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf775…f817backed Yes18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.447915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-59.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes24c68.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5427920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes18c66.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9152619.8%104 W · 422 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes16c63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814025.7%36 W · 104 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes17c62.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6534039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes24c56.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes20c51.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2359225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3b…657cbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518224.2%44 W · 138 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe721…a4d4backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53414.7%5 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…cf9abacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc245…bccbbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes26c49.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6313119.1%25 W · 106 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes23c46.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6310623.6%25 W · 81 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes27c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0476821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe183…3e16backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108053.8%43 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41f5…1aacbacked No70c39.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8771…a830backed No72c34.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…5635backed Yes32c32.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a7…d389backed No76c31.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No79c26.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6751018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc670…6d4fbacked No70c23.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc948…454fbacked No70c21.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3382…67cbbacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No73c19.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed No79c19.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1b…774dbacked No80c14.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.