TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7dd…ff1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6066.7%40 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.64
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$11.58
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.72
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.23
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.39
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.08
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.25
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+90%+$12.79
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.72
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$14.19
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65%+$11.98
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$12.52
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.21
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+82.1%+$11.69
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74%+$11.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.3%+$10.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74%+$10.98
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.5%+$11.82
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.85
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.18
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Chainlink reach $10 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.87
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34.3%+$4.97
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.3
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+48.8%+$11.09
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5.36
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+86.8%+$19.24
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$5.85
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$14.77
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$11.64
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7.06
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$12.82
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.6%+$6.31
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.14
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$11.39
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$14.91
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52%+$7.58
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+70.7%+$256.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$245.85
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$15.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.