Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e398119c99b0d039a9f3b230c1f4ea7d4740ad1596eb60fbe0ed72821216df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,320 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 41c | 15,195$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.79 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 72c | 4,235$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.03 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,761$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 44c | 2,294$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.43 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 30c | 1,908$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.84 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 58c | 1,208$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 1,125$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 33c | 1,057$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 44c | 725.73$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…13fdbacked No | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 483.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 481.23$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 30c | 451.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 61c | 450$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 423$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 37c | 398.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…e6f2backed No | 55c | 385.46$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 333.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 56c | 320.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 69c | 291.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 41c | 290.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 273.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4e…4f6ebacked Yes | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 242.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 45c | 225.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 60c | 216$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 37c | 205.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…42abbacked No | 66c | 196.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…0eb8backed Yes | 44c | 181$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 178.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 63c | 176.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…6e23backed Yes | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…363cbacked Yes | 45c | 163$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…76e7backed Yes | 43c | 161$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…c231backed Yes | 43c | 154$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…b66bbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…a835backed Yes | 44c | 148$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0818…b911backed Yes | 43c | 144$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…6977backed Yes | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…ce32backed Yes | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…e74abacked Yes | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 127.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…c27abacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 38c | 111.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 42c | 95.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 42c | 93.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 60c | 84.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…16acbacked No | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…643dbacked No | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c33…1934backed No | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 45c | 66.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…0fb5backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…b491backed No | 55c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…c55bbacked No | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…99b4backed No | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cf8cbacked No | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879c…cf16backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…81c3backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked Yes | 29c | 54.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e931backed No | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 54c | 52.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…eaf9backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…bb5bbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2428…5c18backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b8…99dabacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…8a20backed No | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…296ebacked No | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5e8abacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…6d2dbacked No | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 42.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…7afabacked No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…5cc3backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…140abacked No | 58c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…8165backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…47a2backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…8b66backed No | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…e64abacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…fa78backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…8c47backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f0…1b9bbacked No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…ce10backed No | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…5a4fbacked No | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…4f36backed No | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 55c | 31.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…464bbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?Yes won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.