TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80a4…22cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,014
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 68 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT16246.3%75 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.77
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$37.07
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$957
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$122.1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+870.9%+$269.1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$152
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$711.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$856.7
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$71.92
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$325.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT11439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$9,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+568.5%+$52,703.63
Will Rodri Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42%+$177.5
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$409.34
Will a Goal be Scored During 106-120 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.68
Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$55.8
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$11,318.14
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.52
Will Timothée Chalamet attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.68
Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,725.93
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$357.89
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$197.1
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT11039.1%43 W · 67 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$149.81
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$179.88
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$16.9
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.08
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$356.91
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.92
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$40.52
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.96
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$177
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+46.3%+$237.5
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.65
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$95.55
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.6%+$50.38
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT8953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.25
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$2,912.77
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.71
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.92
Will Warsh say "Uncertainty" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$134.61
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.12
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$108
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,732Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$1,507.25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$23.47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$487.57
Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$173.82
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$312.1
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$479.5
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.92
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.3%+$1,186.64
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT8048.8%39 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.96
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will BGC Partners (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.4
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.69
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.28
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.7%+$68.07
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$87.36
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$246.56
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.6
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$163.34
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$284.29
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+426.3%+$137.94
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+283.1%+$114.7
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT8038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.25
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$159.51
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$131.04
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+93.9%+$2,980.84
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$240.1
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$411.83
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+191.7%+$32.86
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+89.9%+$135.85
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.81
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$151.75
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$212.94
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.26
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$37.77
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.4
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$258.21
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.6%+$28.33
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$701.6
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,582.72
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58.59
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4734%16 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.03
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$216.16
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$122.14
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$322.12
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.63
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.8
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+258.1%+$129.01
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$10.06
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$314.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.9%+$125.18
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77.17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$185.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$43.04
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.93
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$305.76
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$302.76
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,233.3%+$370
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.2%+$43.81
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,072.06
California redistricting referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.81
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$63.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$39
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+482.4%+$3,632.08
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67.6
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+70.6%+$82.75
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,127.59
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42.29
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3650%18 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.4%+$152.51
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+404.4%+$3,054.13
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.9%+$122.3
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$67.5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,654.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$139.3
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$93.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$309
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$276
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$220.84
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.9%+$2,744.68
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$803.28
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.48
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+165.6%+$53.68
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$52.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$38.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.75
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.09
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+536.9%+$252.9
2025 August third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.52
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.22
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+117%+$93.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+321%+$429.55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$679.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$170.5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+566.7%+$255
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$100.5
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$91.2
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.1%+$69
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$299.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$161.25
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.99
Ethereum all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.16
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$38.22
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+84.2%+$98.25
Solana all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$42.75
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$173
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,893.4
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,538.75
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$518
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$128
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+296.3%+$1,855.92
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,580.49
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$72.4
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$31.5
Next French Prime Minister appointed by September 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.5
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$195.84
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.51
U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.25
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$253.72
Will Brazil unban X before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$46.2
Edmundo González arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,337.22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$182.75
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$101.06
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.59
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,437.99
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$142.18
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Leeds United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$611.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$511.56
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+150%+$49
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.31
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.79
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+116.9%+$255.74
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.7
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$92.5
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$54.75
Will Manchester United beat Southampton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$157.49
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+279.5%+$298.53
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$285.4
Will Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$85.72
Will Morocco win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.71
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$1,218.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$1,471.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,784Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$1,905.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.9
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.99
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$102.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$413
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$204.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$56.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$283.07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44%+$855.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,161.22
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.84
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,225
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.4
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$119
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$101.24
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$261
Will Holger Rune reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Lorenzo Musetti reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+79.1%+$441.58
US Open: Medvedev vs. Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$475.87
Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Iga Świątek (POL) win Gold in Women's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+669.2%+$108.99
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-57.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66.43
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$472.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$412.01
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$960.18
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$475.27
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
María Corina Machado arrested before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$96.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10100%10 W · 0 L+5.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+216%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.79
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+514.1%+$502.39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$422.24
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$515.8
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177%+$661.08
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+517.2%+$1,543.5
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+377.7%+$822.29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.99
TikTok banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+44.7%+$309
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+88.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+432.8%+$340.57
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+952.6%+$221.73
'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$223.51
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+37%+$33.75
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross over $90m 2nd weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$68.45
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $84m 2nd weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$213.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.5
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+645.6%+$1,853
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$277.5
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.43
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.19
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.42
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.3
Discord IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-76.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.65
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,297.95
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,823.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+246.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.49
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+400%+$53.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+188%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prengabacked Prenga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,031.98
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+476%+$248.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+285.5%+$142.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$224.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$145.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.