Us Midterms · resolved market
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e9ba9e25f5adcf7e159e62c24ca3bda9a5245a049acb94fdd534e67ed1969e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,152,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,981,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,152,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked No | 15c | 216,583$33,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,327.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked No | 1c | 180,000$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 20c | 113,181$23,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,114.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 2c | 87,324$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…505fbacked No | 0c | 85,003$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…fe7abacked No | 0c | 80,986$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 14c | 59,407$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 11c | 52,154$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 8c | 52,019$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…c64bbacked No | 1c | 47,474$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked No | 0c | 46,196$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…3b72backed No | 0c | 41,938$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 9c | 32,384$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…52fdbacked No | 1c | 30,444$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 1c | 26,235$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 18c | 25,000$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.06 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…47febacked No | 0c | 23,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…64f5backed No | 1c | 22,233$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…0c64backed Yes | 77c | 20,788$16,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…a183backed No | 1c | 20,476$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed No | 0c | 19,890$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…c864backed No | 1c | 15,957$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…213cbacked No | 0c | 15,224$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 11c | 13,542$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.46 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 1c | 13,416$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…fc70backed No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…d2edbacked No | 0c | 12,590$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 1c | 10,726$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 8c | 10,000$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 77c | 8,522$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…07d8backed No | 0c | 8,510$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…6a8dbacked No | 17c | 8,178$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…f271backed No | 0c | 7,525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 16c | 7,391$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…bf0bbacked No | 3c | 6,942$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 13c | 6,145$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.92 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0f80backed No | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 14c | 5,804$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.61 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…11f9backed No | 0c | 5,569$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 13c | 4,563$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.42 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked No | 18c | 4,460$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 14c | 4,155$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 18c | 4,069$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.84 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 18c | 3,500$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked No | 14c | 3,445$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…12e3backed No | 0c | 3,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…73bfbacked No | 2c | 3,132$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 4c | 2,871$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…a2c0backed No | 1c | 2,767$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 79c | 2,577$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.47 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…40aabacked No | 1c | 2,576$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 8c | 2,503$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 13c | 2,500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 15c | 2,413$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…978fbacked No | 15c | 2,232$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…afbbbacked No | 25c | 2,224$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 9c | 2,138$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 76c | 2,135$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed Yes | 80c | 2,120$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…69efbacked No | 1c | 2,003$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed No | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked No | 1c | 1,714$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 20c | 1,644$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed No | 4c | 1,624$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 75c | 1,600$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 15c | 1,520$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +137%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 20c | 1,492$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 22c | 1,483$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 12c | 1,429$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…0d8abacked No | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed Yes | 80c | 1,367$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 1,364$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 1,330$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 75c | 1,240$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 3c | 1,186$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…79eebacked No | 7c | 1,138$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 12c | 1,100$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d79bbacked No | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed No | 29c | 1,048$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…5cbabacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 12c | 994.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 10c | 984$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked No | 28c | 938.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 79c | 909.64$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed No | 8c | 902.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed No | 10c | 896.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 9c | 856.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…01bfbacked No | 16c | 848.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed No | 2c | 844.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…98b4backed No | 3c | 802.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.