TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2167…9062

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90%+$594.06
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$24.87
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.86
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$69.98
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.11
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$844.61
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$29.67
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$166.84
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$66.11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$547.74
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$155.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$546.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.31
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.32
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.1
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+185.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.