World Politics · resolved market
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde3c15baa6087fd1458d2b1bad3d76120bd7d89af7aec5744631368730817f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 23,817$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.45 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 23c | 5,796$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.13 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 4,782$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.95 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 74c | 4,685$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 16c | 4,514$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.02 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…f1aabacked No | 79c | 4,342$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,007$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 20c | 3,440$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.43 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 68c | 3,059$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.72 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed No | 67c | 2,963$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,930$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…f1acbacked Yes | 12c | 2,387$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked Yes | 27c | 1,866$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Yes | 25c | 1,665$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 38c | 1,647$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.67 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 36c | 1,491$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 1,339$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 11c | 1,292$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,022$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 64c | 1,015$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.41 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed Yes | 28c | 959.36$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 22c | 951.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…9af9backed Yes | 32c | 926.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 62c | 882$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed Yes | 37c | 871.2$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…cd4abacked Yes | 30c | 797.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 69c | 727.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…23bbbacked Yes | 3c | 713.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes | 32c | 671.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 8c | 645$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 15c | 577.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 11c | 545.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…ed84backed Yes | 60c | 533.08$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…bcdebacked Yes | 18c | 500.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 32c | 500$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 24c | 460.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…d8f6backed Yes | 22c | 452.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 36c | 428.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +92%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 422.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…0b2abacked Yes | 36c | 419.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…523bbacked Yes | 17c | 412.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 15c | 393.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Yes | 15c | 379.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Yes | 37c | 375.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 359.13$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked Yes | 7c | 357.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 77c | 333.88$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 27c | 328.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes | 42c | 322.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 307.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…b493backed No | 78c | 302.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes | 14c | 295.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8405backed Yes | 25c | 282.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 26c | 269.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…5463backed Yes | 28c | 269.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 24c | 263.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…ce91backed Yes | 23c | 258.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 222$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fc…b1f2backed Yes | 26c | 207.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…565cbacked No | 80c | 199.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…5f1cbacked Yes | 29c | 197.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 26c | 196.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 74c | 193.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 12c | 190.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…2e6ebacked Yes | 23c | 188.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 18c | 178.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes | 17c | 166.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 23c | 159.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…7e83backed Yes | 12c | 158.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…f5c0backed Yes | 19c | 154.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 19c | 151.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Yes | 17c | 143.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 73c | 139$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 30c | 132.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf9…6d67backed Yes | 18c | 131$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Yes | 42c | 120.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Yes | 32c | 116.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 22c | 112.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…f412backed Yes | 36c | 110.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Yes | 29c | 103.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +245.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…2fedbacked Yes | 18c | 102.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…ed62backed Yes | 18c | 90.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Yes | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 32c | 82.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed Yes | 14c | 77.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked No | 79c | 75.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.