TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes28c23,817$6,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.4511853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes23c5,796$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.136883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes22c4,782$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.958129.6%24 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed No74c4,685$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes16c4,514$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.0225337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed0…f1aabacked No79c4,342$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes26c4,007$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.812142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes20c3,440$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.4322725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No68c3,059$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.727932.9%26 W · 53 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed No67c2,963$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc03…804cbacked Yes29c2,930$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.173636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes38c2,631$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+79.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe125…f1acbacked Yes12c2,387$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7809…196abacked Yes27c1,866$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.461540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Yes25c1,665$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes38c1,647$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.6716535.8%59 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…63d2backed Yes36c1,491$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes12c1,339$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.834766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes11c1,292$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.714327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes19c1,022$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1948716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No64c1,015$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4113444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2167…9062backed Yes28c959.36$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes22c951.04$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3526139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b1b…9af9backed Yes32c926.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked No62c882$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.692524%6 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Yes37c871.2$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa0…cd4abacked Yes30c797.22$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed No69c727.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.297436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…23bbbacked Yes3c713.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes32c671.41$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.321030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes8c645$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes15c577.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.043920.5%8 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes11c545.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4746330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…ed84backed Yes60c533.08$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb053…bcdebacked Yes18c500.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes32c500$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+105.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc5…da90backed Yes37c500$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.531717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-71.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa056…0f70backed Yes24c460.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.712330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…d8f6backed Yes22c452.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed Yes36c428.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.143369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+92%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes18c422.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.957317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f3…0b2abacked Yes36c419.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-72.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d1…523bbacked Yes17c412.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-78.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes15c393.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0816746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7089…7351backed Yes15c379.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed Yes37c375.25$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No71c359.13$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8215356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…39cebacked Yes7c357.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253020%6 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No77c333.88$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8616343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes27c328.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.094355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+52%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes42c322.43$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes13c307.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.911020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…b493backed No78c302.36$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed Yes16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95768.4%39 W · 18 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1428434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes24c300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.61513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes14c295.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.16128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Yes25c282.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes26c269.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7627438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99e9…5463backed Yes28c269.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes24c263.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.545530.9%17 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee87…ce91backed Yes23c258.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c222$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2fc…b1f2backed Yes26c207.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.382532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b65…013ebacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.85942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82fc…565cbacked No80c199.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddb…5f1cbacked Yes29c197.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-82%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Yes26c196.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.593135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No74c193.66$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57443.2%32 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Yes12c190.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.633644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe829…2e6ebacked Yes23c188.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes18c178.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3414330.8%44 W · 99 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes17c166.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes23c159.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4210261.8%63 W · 39 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ca4…7e83backed Yes12c158.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aed…f5c0backed Yes19c154.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes19c151.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…6630backed Yes17c143.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.922326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No73c139$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1317330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes30c132.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf9…6d67backed Yes18c131$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.941323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c123$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.61,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890d…e39cbacked Yes42c120.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.128123.5%19 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed Yes32c116.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes22c112.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.945940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0190…3e18backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes11c111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131534%107 W · 208 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5909…f412backed Yes36c110.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Yes29c103.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+245.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef7…2fedbacked Yes18c102.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6435…cbc8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f90…ed62backed Yes18c90.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9f…c209backed Yes16c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2c…5dc1backed Yes32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9205…2aa7backed Yes32c82.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd245…2318backed Yes14c77.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.963225%8 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked No79c75.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.