World Politics · resolved market
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33d7915ed92398557e1e5479c79a2ad09949a8c7d37ae348471d981d67d2219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 10,535$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 17c | 9,432$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 59c | 6,571$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.67 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,142$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 48c | 3,476$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.35 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8d…53d2backed Yes | 7c | 3,270$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 3,133$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 6c | 2,638$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,449$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 3c | 2,216$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…bcdebacked Yes | 3c | 2,002$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Yes | 10c | 1,902$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,796$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 54c | 1,632$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.22 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 32c | 1,510$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,453$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Yes | 35c | 1,426$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed Yes | 11c | 1,232$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…cc02backed Yes | 10c | 1,033$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 68c | 943.81$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.59 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 940$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 860.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…440fbacked Yes | 13c | 794.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…8807backed Yes | 6c | 773.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 13c | 763.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 3c | 753.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…30fabacked Yes | 2c | 727.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 601.72$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…8f86backed Yes | 18c | 467.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…581fbacked Yes | 18c | 441.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…7edcbacked Yes | 12c | 431.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed No | 48c | 421.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 42c | 413.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…23bbbacked Yes | 5c | 408.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 3c | 398.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…d704backed Yes | 17c | 396.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…56aebacked Yes | 3c | 395.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…177ebacked Yes | 8c | 385.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…100fbacked Yes | 16c | 359.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 51c | 314.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 53c | 305.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…6ff9backed Yes | 16c | 298.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 11c | 288.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4e…2b46backed No | 33c | 281.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Yes | 34c | 280.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…1fb7backed Yes | 15c | 270.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094f…8796backed Yes | 31c | 256.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed No | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Yes | 15c | 249.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…94cabacked Yes | 9c | 233.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 20c | 232.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…1b41backed Yes | 14c | 213.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…ba6fbacked Yes | 15c | 209.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes | 43c | 201.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…63fbbacked Yes | 58c | 199.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 32c | 198.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…fb78backed No | 56c | 178.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…ce4ebacked Yes | 57c | 169.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…32bbbacked Yes | 7c | 158.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 10c | 156.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 33c | 156.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7e36backed Yes | 7c | 155.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c09…e652backed Yes | 21c | 154.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes | 41c | 151.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 66c | 151.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…e939backed Yes | 7c | 137.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3e4dbacked Yes | 23c | 126.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed No | 79c | 126.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…a135backed Yes | 66c | 112$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…7b76backed Yes | 10c | 103.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…4af1backed Yes | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed No | 75c | 96.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 12c | 84.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 20c | 79.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 34c | 76.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 76.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…17febacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 19c | 73.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…6f77backed Yes | 67c | 72.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 61c | 69.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 66.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…2e6ebacked No | 56c | 53.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…2c8bbacked No | 47c | 53.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…ffbebacked Yes | 63c | 47.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…8fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 47.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Yes | 66c | 45.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…faadbacked Yes | 73c | 41.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf9…6d67backed No | 47c | 40.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 52c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 64c | 39.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…e85ebacked Yes | 65c | 38.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…b61cbacked Yes | 77c | 28.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.