TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b25…e9a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.21
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$15.48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$21.65
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$21.65
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+33.1%+$8.64
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.32
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+386.7%+$229.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.88
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$56.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.09
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)backed McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$6
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.