Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29960bebd6a6b8a568d38f1bc39cd10b18c4711ddcc16a466071fbe3a749f17

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Virtus.proof MOUZ, Virtus.pro
Resolved: Dec 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa41c…fadebacked Virtus.pro	17c	5,836$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,843.74	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Virtus.pro	73c	5,141$3,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,383.89	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Virtus.pro	47c	4,617$2,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.55	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed MOUZ	39c	4,102$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Virtus.pro	47c	3,161$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.17	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	33c	2,817$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.97	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed MOUZ	44c	2,500$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+11.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295.99	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Virtus.pro	74c	2,002$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.65	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	67cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ	53c	1,897$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ	30c	1,528$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.66	738	41.7%308 W · 430 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ	43c	1,439$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.45	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Virtus.pro	16c	1,240$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.9	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked MOUZ	54c	1,236$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.45	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ	27c	1,114$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.12	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed MOUZ	43c	1,068$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Virtus.pro	50c	1,008$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.93	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Virtus.pro	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Virtus.pro	21c	956.34$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.34	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed MOUZ	23c	810$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.8	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ	41c	806.13$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.49	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro	15c	801.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked MOUZ	33c	788.22$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro	17c	769.72$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.87	218	47.2%103 W · 115 L	+16.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro	47c	762.42$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.24	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Virtus.pro	75c	739.94$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.6	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro	14c	694.8$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.32	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked MOUZ	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Virtus.pro	15c	643.5$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.09	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ	55c	600$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro	16c	599.85$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.87	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed Virtus.pro	18c	555.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.56	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	41c	510.36$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.25	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked MOUZ	38c	492.76$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.2	59	72.9%43 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ	52c	492.11$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.21	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ	43c	448.24$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.14	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Virtus.pro	23c	435.88$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.88	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro	14c	421.12$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.28	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro	12c	356$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.28	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ	58c	340$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked MOUZ	51c	322.39$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Virtus.pro	64c	320.25$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro	28c	314.29$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.29	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed MOUZ	18c	306$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.08	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Virtus.pro	69c	304.99$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked MOUZ	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed MOUZ	54c	300$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed MOUZ	70c	299.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro	46c	299.11$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.39	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…8453backed MOUZ	43c	280.7$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Virtus.pro	47c	261.89$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.57	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ	56c	250$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Virtus.pro	45c	243.78$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.08	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Virtus.pro	18c	227.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.78	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed MOUZ	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro	16c	200$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro	16c	192.52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.71	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Virtus.pro	17c	153.72$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.59	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+26%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a9c…7fa0backed MOUZ	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked MOUZ	53c	126.62$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ	44c	125$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked MOUZ	68c	117.65$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	68cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed MOUZ	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro	56c	106.65$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.32	203	61.6%125 W · 78 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed MOUZ	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Virtus.pro	19c	105.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.26	149	65.8%98 W · 51 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked MOUZ	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a5…a523backed Virtus.pro	23c	100$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro	18c	100$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	142	54.2%77 W · 65 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked MOUZ	38c	97.74$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	225	38.7%87 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed MOUZ	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	68cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed MOUZ	64c	88.54$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.79	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro	15c	87.88$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.7	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro	13c	78.16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x793b…362bbacked Virtus.pro	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed MOUZ	71c	74.75$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2c…6962backed Virtus.pro	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…ef23backed MOUZ	56c	71.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Virtus.pro	47c	70.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.79	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Virtus.pro	75c	69.13$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed MOUZ	48c	66.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.23	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked MOUZ	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Virtus.pro	18c	59.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.65	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed MOUZ	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ	51c	49.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked Virtus.pro	31c	48.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed MOUZ	40c	43.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Virtus.pro	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c2f4backed Virtus.pro	51c	39.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be9…40cbbacked Virtus.pro	45c	35.56$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-5.7wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa092…f64ebacked MOUZ	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe338…a75ebacked MOUZ	41c	32.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked MOUZ	59c	28.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…e9a6backed Virtus.pro	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed MOUZ	76c	26.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfc…c692backed MOUZ	55c	25.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.46per pick	66cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa798…4240backed MOUZ	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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