TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6365…df4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT22538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 225 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$52
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$67.39
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.68
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+147%+$71.98
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Game Handicap: Bald (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)backed Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.85
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 225 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3650%18 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$31.25
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+270.4%+$56.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$30.49
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+194.1%+$48.53
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$27.49
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+184.8%+$32.87
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$67.74
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.56
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.7
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$154.89
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$106.36
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Vikings (-9.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$21.1
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$41.54
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.27
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Saints (-6.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: 49ers (-13.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Texans (-9.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+264.6%+$29.87
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+575.4%+$68.44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$61.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$47.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$50.18
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$64.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Missouri (-4.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$59.42
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.6%+$92.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.