NFL · resolved market
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22d17b79f856dd9e8c94697a9343917ce8426f4c42ef9a3dd46d84a1bcbdb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Steelers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 47c | 56,064$26,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,554.75 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Browns | 51c | 46,949$23,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,152.68 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Browns | 53c | 23,992$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.24 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers | 49c | 22,049$10,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,768.95 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Browns | 52c | 20,462$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Steelers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Steelers | 47c | 8,956$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.28 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Steelers | 50c | 6,255$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Steelers | 49c | 5,950$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Browns | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers | 48c | 5,432$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.38 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Browns | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Steelers | 47c | 4,995$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.45 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 52c | 4,585$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.6 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Browns | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Browns | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Browns | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 51c | 2,560$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers | 48c | 2,414$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.29 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Steelers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Browns | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Browns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Browns | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Browns | 53c | 943.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Steelers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Steelers | 48c | 795$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Browns | 53c | 636.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.03 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Browns | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Browns | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Steelers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Steelers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Steelers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Steelers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Browns | 49c | 285.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 51c | 240.32$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Steelers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Steelers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Steelers | 49c | 219.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Browns | 55c | 212$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Steelers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Steelers | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Steelers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Browns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Browns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Browns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Steelers | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Steelers | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Steelers | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Browns | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 49c | 150.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Steelers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Browns | 53c | 135.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Steelers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Browns | 56c | 104.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…30dabacked Steelers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Browns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Browns | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Steelers | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…01f1backed Steelers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Steelers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Steelers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Steelers | 49c | 67.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Browns | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Browns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Steelers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…b091backed Browns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Browns | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Browns | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Steelers | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Browns | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Browns | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Steelers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-1.5)Browns won
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Browns won
- First Touchdown: Harold Fannin Jr.Harold Fannin Jr. won
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Browns won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Browns won
- Steelers vs. BrownsBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H MoneylineBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 16.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 28.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 33.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.