NFL · resolved market
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b191baf56891c424ee33de7467d08bbadd09da308450a0bb467b516d00e0ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Steelers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Steelers | 50c | 158,573$79,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,926.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Browns | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 50c | 49,452$24,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,656.46 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Browns | 52c | 22,398$11,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.6 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Steelers | 49c | 20,226$9,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823.17 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Browns | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Browns | 49c | 11,004$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.07 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Browns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Browns | 51c | 7,645$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.68 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…c62dbacked Steelers | 47c | 7,323$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Browns | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Browns | 47c | 5,973$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.55 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 50c | 5,846$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 49c | 5,698$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.38 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 50c | 5,676$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.21 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 51c | 5,304$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.55 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 48c | 5,177$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Browns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Browns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Steelers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Browns | 47c | 3,405$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Steelers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Steelers | 50c | 2,837$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Browns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Browns | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Browns | 48c | 1,720$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Steelers | 53c | 1,630$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 48c | 1,615$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.49 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Steelers | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.06 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Steelers | 54c | 1,094$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.04 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Browns | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.08 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Browns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Browns | 51c | 989.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.87 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Steelers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 57c | 883.57$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Browns | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Steelers | 53c | 788.64$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Steelers | 50c | 672$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Browns | 51c | 667.95$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 49c | 615.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Steelers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Steelers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Steelers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Steelers | 49c | 549.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Browns | 49c | 526.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Steelers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Browns | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Browns | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Browns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Browns | 50c | 399.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Browns | 52c | 385.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Steelers | 53c | 350.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Steelers | 16c | 312.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Browns | 51c | 306.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Browns | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Browns | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Steelers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Steelers | 53c | 249$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Browns | 48c | 247.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Steelers | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Browns | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Browns | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Browns | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Browns | 53c | 237.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Steelers | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Steelers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Browns | 51c | 222.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Browns | 48c | 211$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Steelers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Browns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Steelers | 52c | 202.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Steelers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Browns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Steelers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…0319backed Steelers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Browns | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Browns | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Browns | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Browns | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Browns | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Browns | 50c | 160.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Steelers | 51c | 157.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Browns | 51c | 146.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Steelers | 39c | 144.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Browns | 46c | 141.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Browns | 51c | 128.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Browns | 47c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-1.5)Browns won
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Browns won
- First Touchdown: Harold Fannin Jr.Harold Fannin Jr. won
- Spread: Steelers (-4.5)Browns won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Browns won
- Steelers vs. BrownsBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H MoneylineBrowns won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 16.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 28.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 33.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.