TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x657c…0cc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$329.23
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170.7
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,429.33
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$421.88
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,250
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 33.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$422.76
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$590.95
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$728.69
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,753Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.6%+$1,420.79
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.4%+$483.65
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$236.99
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.01
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$35
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$100.8
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$125.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+64.2%+$353.33
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.61
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$731
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+43.7%+$709.39
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.48
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$49.01
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40.26
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$105.01
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.15
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$84.1
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31%+$82.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$89.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$186.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.7%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$71.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.