NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b083450a44bfd9125c852164fe695b3850e760be94c499133a0d34eb9a77aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Cavaliers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 49c | 24,633$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,132.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 7,559$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets | 52c | 6,754$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.85 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,876$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.82 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Hornets | 52c | 4,355$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.54 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Hornets | 51c | 4,123$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Hornets | 66c | 2,996$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.56 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,851$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,468$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Cavaliers | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Cavaliers | 4c | 2,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Hornets | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.94 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,261$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.32 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 53c | 1,233$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,093$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.72 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,028$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Hornets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 78c | 835.78$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.01 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 792.47$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.31 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 77c | 780$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 660$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets | 48c | 627.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Cavaliers | 26c | 615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Hornets | 45c | 599$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hornets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Hornets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Hornets | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 549.22$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 51c | 540$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Hornets | 49c | 464.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Hornets | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 34c | 353.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 46c | 335.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 47c | 301.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Hornets | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Cavaliers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Hornets | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 48c | 261.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Hornets | 51c | 249.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 76c | 238.44$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…b4f4backed Hornets | 52c | 234.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…dc0fbacked Hornets | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Hornets | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hornets | 47c | 213.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…82f1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Cavaliers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hornets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Hornets | 51c | 196.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hornets | 53c | 195.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Hornets | 52c | 192.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Hornets | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 189.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Cavaliers | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hornets | 51c | 140.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Cavaliers | 47c | 133.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Hornets | 47c | 131.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 50c | 116.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Hornets | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Hornets | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Cavaliers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets | 50c | 74.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 51c | 72.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…4572backed Cavaliers | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Cavaliers | 57c | 69.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 63.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 49c | 62.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Hornets | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Hornets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.