TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6364…09a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.14
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$118.18
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.8
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$384.43
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.6%+$92.58
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.89
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$262
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+192.2%+$307.53
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$290
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$118.26
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$234.65
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$350.12
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$115.85
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+112.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$113.25
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$118.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
One Direction reunion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.63
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$712.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.