NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a004d69eefadd0dcb8072005b3de491e617e9063b4afcf305f0a7b39147402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Timberwolves, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Timberwolves | 52c | 105,302$55,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,058.3 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.95 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 48c | 41,387$19,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,521.24 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 49c | 21,319$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,872.74 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 48c | 18,202$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,465.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 10,900$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.07 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…cf7cbacked Bucks | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 47c | 10,375$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…ffcfbacked Bucks | 49c | 10,201$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 47c | 10,089$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f68…bcd8backed Bucks | 49c | 8,743$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Bucks | 48c | 8,457$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.72 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bucks | 49c | 5,683$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.14 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…e8dbbacked Bucks | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 48c | 5,616$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucks | 48c | 5,286$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bucks | 48c | 4,557$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.51 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bucks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…f2dfbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,380$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Bucks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Bucks | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Bucks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bucks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 52c | 1,913$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,664$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,466$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 46c | 1,341$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.88 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.04 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Timberwolves | 43c | 704.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 687.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 48c | 635.17$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks | 48c | 600$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bucks | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Bucks | 62c | 599.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 49c | 462$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bucks | 47c | 432$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Timberwolves | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Bucks | 49c | 364.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bucks | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 48c | 299.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bucks | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bucks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Bucks | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Bucks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Bucks | 50c | 200.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bucks | 48c | 191.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Bucks | 49c | 162.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bucks | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Bucks | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Bucks | 50c | 116.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 52c | 115.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bucks | 29c | 102.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Bucks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bucks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 99.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Bucks | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 51c | 88.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…aa20backed Bucks | 50c | 87.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Bucks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Timberwolves | 67c | 74.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Bucks | 69c | 72.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Bucks | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…7ff2backed Bucks | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bucks | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Bucks | 48c | 52.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Bucks | 48c | 50.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Bucks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 30c | 45.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Bucks | 68c | 41.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Bucks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Bucks | 48c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)this page
- Bucks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.