TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe18c…37c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$218
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$117.1
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$133
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.52
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$106.77
76ers vs. Bulls: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+94.9%+$94.93
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$172
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+177.8%+$195.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$46.84
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$13.35
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+64.1%+$64.1
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Heat vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.45
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST3754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$250.65
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$577
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37%+$38.75
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+39.4%+$311.37
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$111.37
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$59.4
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$94.35
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$127.7
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.5%+$241.31
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+91.1%+$182.65
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Spread: Texans (-14.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$48.77
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Steelers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+94.2%+$98.88
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$243.09
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bears (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42.6
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$585.06
O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+105.4%+$305.11
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$259.35
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.3%+$152.1
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$123.63
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+133%+$90.47
Spread: Washington (-10.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.3
Spread: Alabama (-3.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.08
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$50
Mississippi State vs. Texas A&Mbacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$42.44
Spread: Cougars (-18.5)backed Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Oregon Ducks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penn Quakers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.96
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+124.8%+$37.45
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+39.5%+$15.8
Portland State Vikings vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Seattle Redhawks vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+30.3%+$7.57
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+215.8%+$67.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$31.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nike say "Consumer Demand" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$110.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.