MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d8477f4c581c26eb43e94e8a2d2e3ac575f36e49d7e3638bb17ce223b5c6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 99,999$74,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.66 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 39,462$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.19 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 31,356$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 14,703$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.92 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 7,576$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 4,379$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.48 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 4,292$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,073$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.37 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,039$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 957.15$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 850.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 649.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 380.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 225.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 197.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 174.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 145.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 115.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 113.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 82.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 76.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 75.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 70.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 56.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 43.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8a73backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Phillies vs. DodgersPhillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.