TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd8f…a3dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$105
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.64
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+429%+$82.79
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$154.32
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$65.46
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$38.02
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.13
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$233.24
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$83.69
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+67.4%+$40.42
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$41.67
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$246.36
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$39.83
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.67
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$27.08
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST5949.2%29 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$42.13
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$22.9
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60.3
Spread: Nets (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.48
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$30.02
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.65
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Spread: Bulls (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$40.74
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$48.77
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$23.17
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$106.48
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$97.85
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$53.24
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+156.4%+$157.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.