MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3927a0e1baded6f80c36b1c9fe0388e0489af3165262f4b9e28db1ad293e83ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 51c | 41,136$20,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,156.83 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 35,056$25,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.47 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 52c | 24,895$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,994.91 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 22,195$8,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,177.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 19,308$10,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,255.48 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 17,109$11,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,089.68 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 16,327$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 13,756$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.99 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 13,280$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.23 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 12,585$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,669.82 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 12,464$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 12,203$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.31 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 62c | 12,112$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.37 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 11,419$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.4 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 66c | 10,808$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.22 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 10,410$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.63 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed New York Yankees | 62c | 8,705$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 46c | 7,117$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.44 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,620$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.75 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,320$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.89 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.92 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 76c | 4,346$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.91 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Yankees | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.3 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 47c | 3,267$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.33 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 3,056$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.86 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,476$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.85 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,438$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,290$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.57 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,832$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,628$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,603$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.62 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,578$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.76 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,395$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.6 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 1,159$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,136$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.92 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…5bf7backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 974.53$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 954.85$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.47 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Yankees | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 858.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 852.13$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 814.17$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.37 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 777$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 696.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Yankees | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4e…d751backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 618.06$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 609$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 75c | 600$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 597$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 586$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 571.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.18 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 557.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 554.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 511.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 482.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…0b32backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Yankees | 47c | 460$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 63c | 437.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed New York Yankees | 47c | 434.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 426.12$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 423.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed New York Yankees | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 401$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Yankees | 47c | 385$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.64 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 377.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 222 | 41%91 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Yankees | 79c | 377$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 376.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 376.18$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 374.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 371$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.21 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 360$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 322.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 313.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 56c | 313.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 310$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 306.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 301$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed New York Yankees | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 278.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Yankees | 70c | 275.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 275.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.