TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over43c66,555$28,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,816.171,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under64c49,660$31,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,697.4611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c10,109$5,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.0419051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c9,912$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.294,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under54c5,059$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.1586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c2,610$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.496,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under58c2,394$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.191,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over12c2,258$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c2,114$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.61,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over39c2,046$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.1445445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under79c1,472$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.132,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under60c1,186$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5838353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under60c1,186$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over22c1,045$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.298,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.322,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under59c962$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.241,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under78c954.28$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.192,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under53c920$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.43,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over42c697.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.961,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over15c597.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.431,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under58c594.37$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.992,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23059549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c409.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.042,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under60c338.66$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.068,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under61c301.1$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8817647.2%83 W · 93 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c297.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.65,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over46c276$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over42c273$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9845045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under60c258.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3381257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under59c255.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4518356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under53c231$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.571,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under74c220$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over6c211.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0643954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Under61c202.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7618244.5%81 W · 101 L-14.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under53c191.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1922050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.369949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c182$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7265549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Under60c166.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over42c134.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.672,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under60c133$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.273653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over44c114.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1358352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3854146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under63c98.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.121,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.783,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under66c90.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under53c74.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.043237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over46c73.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over44c72.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under60c60.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.230554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under57c58.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0321547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over25c52.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.862,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2370744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over47c48.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.571,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under55c47.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6778854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under60c47.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.057565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e9e…4a0abacked Under53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.282250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Under59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3730446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb59…6552backed Under54c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.733745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under60c35.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2415841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over42c25.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over46c25.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8388247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over47c21.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…a3b7backed Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Under62c20.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4c…b93bbacked Under80c19.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Under60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.610048%48 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under61c17.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7246444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.