MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc59c8cd7a6d77cb45d8d9101acaa6c5f32ac1f5927ec32b6a0a9b81e2a291fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 37,116$19,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,777.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 11,029$5,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.16 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 9,650$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 47c | 6,426$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 6,200$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 48c | 5,541$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.74 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 48c | 4,497$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.32 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 4,139$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 3,879$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 3,850$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.12 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 3,340$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 3,205$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 3,054$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 2,486$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 2c | 1,491$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 819$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.39 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 628.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 67c | 601$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 49c | 590.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 51c | 578.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 477.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.13 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 51c | 462.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 399.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 379.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 75c | 373.87$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.26 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 352.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 59c | 350.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 324$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 54c | 324$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 47c | 307.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 301.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 64c | 295.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 216$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 22c | 194$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 48c | 166.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under | 41c | 158.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 53c | 150.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 30c | 123.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 49c | 122.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 55c | 95.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 90.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 48c | 89.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 27c | 83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 77.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 52c | 77.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 49c | 68.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 68.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 29c | 56.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Over | 32c | 55.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 55.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 33c | 50.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 45c | 44.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Under | 49c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 49c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 56c | 20.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.