MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee1f34058753fa857f7fe7810b335e1f0cab7af418dcce62045bf9fe4d1d7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 32c | 8,845$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 5,500$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 34c | 3,505$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 3,154$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 2,433$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,739$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,029$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 546.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 513.94$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 497.13$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.13 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 479.82$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 479$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 348$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 346.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 33c | 345.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 324.57$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 237.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 222.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 219.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 188.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 173.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 33c | 168.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed New York Yankees | 33c | 150.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 149.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 137.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 130.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 126.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed New York Yankees | 35c | 124.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed New York Yankees | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 106.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked New York Yankees | 31c | 101.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed New York Yankees | 40c | 98.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 92.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed New York Yankees | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed New York Yankees | 31c | 87.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed New York Yankees | 32c | 80.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 33c | 80.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 52.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 45.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…3374backed New York Yankees | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 34.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed New York Yankees | 39c | 28.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…2e5bbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 28.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Yankees | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.