TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6522…3a5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
302
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10847.2%51 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.79
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$5.91
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$23.29
Kingston: Miguel Tobon vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Lorenzo Claverie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Kingston: Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosbacked Matt Kuhar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.91
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.36
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$9.56
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$11.43
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+64%+$7.27
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$6.12
Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$8.95
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$7.71
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.95
Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+171%+$17.35
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$16.39
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+758.4%+$106.18
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.53
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$4.64
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68%+$22.45
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+464.5%+$74.47
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+188%+$35.36
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$30.55
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$20.94
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.68
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$13.74
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$4.29
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,058.9%+$155.18
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$5.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118%+$40.95
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$19.31
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$39.65
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$13.89
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)backed NSÍ Runavík · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$10.74
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$17.63
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$20.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$17.86
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$10.96
Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$23.28
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)backed Paide Linnameeskond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$12.03
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$13.67
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$9.18
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.13
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.7
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: GAIS (-1.5)backed Halmstads BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$7.25
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed IF Brommapojkarna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$12.28
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$14
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)backed Orgryte IS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$11.07
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.73
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$16.7
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$19.11
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$9.08
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Górnik Zabrze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$21.71
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Górnik Zabrze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$7.57
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$13.66
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$15.28
FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$7.05
Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)backed Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed The New Saints FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.04
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$7.88
CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+193%+$30.09
CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$13.42
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+186.8%+$25.61
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$11.66
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$8.51
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$10.8
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$5.62
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$12.96
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$14.04
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$9.59
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$20.66
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$12.77
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$15.94
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$8.53
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$8.65
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$14.07
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.93
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$7.75
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63%+$8.19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$14.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$16.15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$9.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$9.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$15.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.