Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7d3e66745d3bc4df2b45185873b8a69a2fb25a312a186e29183ea872fcac3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 14,130$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.92 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 13,023$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.06 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 43c | 10,948$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.11 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 8,694$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.44 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 57c | 4,895$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.65 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 3,182$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.03 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,874$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.73 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 2,668$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 56c | 2,406$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.65 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 40c | 2,090$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.4 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 1,330$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 1,206$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.17 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 59c | 1,148$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yes | 22c | 935.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 59c | 910$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 78c | 909.99$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 35c | 898.46$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 35c | 889.04$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 54c | 706.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 46c | 686.95$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 590.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 575.12$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 498.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 19c | 407.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 57c | 265.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 28c | 193.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 80c | 189$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 188.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 60c | 182.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 173.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 28c | 173.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 73c | 163.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 45c | 154.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 25c | 154.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 39c | 149.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 133$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 132.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 40c | 130.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 46c | 110.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 72c | 98.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 71c | 95.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 85.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 21c | 79.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 37c | 76.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 63c | 74.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 70.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 41.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 40c | 41.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 77c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 57c | 37.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 56c | 37.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 44c | 37.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 60c | 36.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 59c | 36.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 61c | 33.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 33.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…69e5backed Yes | 40c | 30.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 29.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 69c | 29.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 57c | 25.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 59c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 20.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.